I mapped all 4 Bitcoin cycles. Are we past the worst of this one?
Hey all. I've been working on a small site that lays out Bitcoin's cycles using the actual bottoms and tops of the last four, rather than forcing every cycle into one fixed curve. I thought it might be useful to people here trying to make sense of where we are.
Right now, the $58k low sits inside the range where past cycle bottoms have landed. And this rally has taken price right back to the model's center, around $86k. If that holds, the hardest part of this cycle may be behind us.
One thing that surprised me while building it: each cycle has produced a smaller multiple than the one before. Bottom to top it went:
×539 → ×112 → ×21.2 → ×7.9
So even if the bottom is already in, I'd be cautious about expecting the next cycle to behave like the old ones. The interesting question is how much further that compression continues.
It's free, no signup, no ads: bitcoinomics.io
Would genuinely love feedback. What's missing, what's confusing, or what would you want it to show?
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